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Quantitative Analysis of ESG Impact on Post-Acquisition Returns

754 Chinese Firms · 2016–2026 · HIP Investor Framework

Logan Lisowski · Rollins College · Professor Marc Sardy, Advisor

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Chinese Firms

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Years Analyzed

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Regression Models

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HIP Variables

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M&A Transactions

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Significant Years

The Structural Reversal

High-ESG firms outperformed from 2016-2020, but the advantage completely reversed post-2021 as low-rated companies began consistently outperforming.

Long-Short Strategy: -14.20%

A strategy buying high-ESG and shorting low-ESG firms would have lost 14.20%, directly challenging the popular ESG alpha hypothesis.

Management Quality Dominates

Regression analysis reveals management practices, not ESG scores, are the strongest predictor of post-acquisition success.

Lisowski, L. (2026). HIP Rating Impact on M&A Performance: A Quantitative Analysis of ESG Factors in Chinese Acquisitions. Rollins College. Advisor: Professor Marc Sardy.